Scania – Commercial transport can be fossil-free by 2050
Achieving fossil-free commercial transport by 2050 – the pathway studies
Voor het tijdspad dat het Parijse klimaatakkoord heeft gezet – 2050 – is fossielvrij zwaar wegtransport niet alleen technisch mogelijk, maar leidt ook vanuit een maatschappelijk perspectief tot kostenbesparingen. Dat concludeert de Zweedse truck-fabrikant Scania in haar White Paper “The Pathway Studies: achieving fossil-free commercial transport by 2050“.
Scania’s President en CEO Henrik Henriksson stelt: “We can achieve more than 20 percent reduction of CO2 emissions by working even smarter in the current transport systems, for example through improved routing and better load management. On top of that, we see several fuel and powertrain pathways to a fossil-free future. Biofuels offer the fastest CO2 emissions reductions and electrification is the most cost-effective.” Hij geeft verder aan dat om in 2050 fossielvrij te zijn het noodzakelijk is om al op korte termijn beginnen met implementatie, omdat het wagenpark maar slechts langzaam van samenstelling verandert.
De belangrijkste conclusies (zoals op de website van Scania aangegeven):
- Smarter logistics: Carbon emissions can be cut by more than 20 percent by optimising systems, for example improving routing and load management. The remainder can be reached with alternative powertrains and fuels.
- Electrification: Battery electric vehicle growth constitutes the most efficient, quickest and cost-effective pathway in countries with the infrastructure potential to provide universal charging systems and non-fossil energy. Full-scale electrification will require significant infrastructure investment relative to the present situation. In return, operating expenses are 40 percent lower than for heavy diesel vehicles. Electric highways for long-haulage transportation can accelerate electrification, particularly in the coming decade when the cost of battery costs is expected to remain high.
- Biofuel: Biofuels will initially offer an effective and viable pathway, taking advantage of traditional combustion engine technology. The technology and fuels are both available here and now. With maximum possible use of globally available biofuel supply, biofuel-based combustion engines can power one-fifth of vehicles in 2050.
- Fuel Cells: Since fuel cell vehicles will be more expensive, substantial growth for this pathway is expected to be later than for battery electric vehicles. If cost of technology decreases and renewable hydrogen is available and plentiful at low cost, by 2050, fuel cell can be a substantial part of the vehicle fleet.
- Date 25/05/2018
- Tags 2018, Engines, Fuels, Road transport, Scenario-analysis, Technology